CCIE Pursuit Blog

August 29, 2007

Cisco says “Total IP traffic will nearly quintuple from 2006 to 2011″

Filed under: Cisco — cciepursuit @ 4:03 pm

Increased traffic = job security?  Let’s hope so.  From Network World:

Video will drive a 21% compound annual growth rate in business IP traffic across WANs from 2006 to 2011, according to a forecast on global IP traffic released this week by Cisco.

That and consumer traffic, which will surpass business IP traffic in 2008, will cause overall IP traffic to almost double every two years through 2011, the Cisco report finds. Total IP traffic will nearly quintuple in the five-year period from 2006 to 2011, driven by high definition video and high speed broadband penetration, the firm says.

Cisco’s report is based on its own estimates plus projections from 10 market analysis firms on the number of Internet users, broadband connections, video subscribers, mobile connections, and Internet application adoption.

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On the business side, Cisco found that business IP traffic — all fixed IP WAN or Internet traffic generated by organizations — will grow fastest in developing markets and Asia-Pacific. North America, Western Europe and Japan will have slower growth rates.

In volume, North America will continue to have the most business IP traffic through 2011, followed by Western Europe and then Asia-Pacific.

Meanwhile, business Internet traffic — all IP traffic that crosses an Internet backbone — will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 23% from 2006 to 2011, driven by increased broadband penetration in the small business segment.

Read the rest of the article here.

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2 Comments »

  1. Hello, on the french market we have some difficulties to pipe the new web2.0 services like dailymotion or youtube.
    Some weeks ago, dailymotion (a french youtube) accuse an ISP to slow-down IP traffic on purpose.
    We begin to speak about CDN in FrNOG. Let’s see what the future will reserve us but our mobiles communications aren’t so up-to-date comparing to USA. Whatever customers of DSL ISP have good connections (30Mbps/1Mbps) for 30 euros by month with unlimited traffic and no filtering.

    Comment by fropert — August 30, 2007 @ 2:20 am | Reply

  2. ISPs filtering traffic is starting to become a big issue in the US as well. The ISPs won’t admit to filtering packets, but in an industry based on oversubscibing network links, it comes as no surprise that they would resort to filtering traffic. “Net Neutrality” is a big issue right now. The Service Providers are trying to create multiple tiers of bandwidth availability (basically policing and QoS in the core) and charge end users and content providers accordingly. This gets even more disgusting when service providers who offer services such as VoIP start to filter services such as Skype or Vonage.

    The cure to all of this would be to provide more bandwidth so that filtering/policing would not be nescessary. I’m not going to hold my breath waiting for that to happen. :-) We’ll either end up paying more to the ISPs for non-filtered access or we’ll end up funding the ISP’s infrastructure upgrades with our taxes.

    Comment by cciepursuit — September 5, 2007 @ 4:41 pm | Reply


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